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Begonnen von Peiresc, 13. November 2016, 20:28:34
ZitatIt is without doubt that as soon as this tax legislation is passed, Republicans will rediscover their religion about the deficit and say we need "entitlement reform."What "entitlement reform" actually means is massive cuts to Social Security at a time when millions of older workers have nothing in the bank for their retirement.
ZitatTrump's presidency is, as Mark Twain is supposed to have said of Wagner's music, "better than it sounds."
ZitatIt is difficult to see how Ted Cruz would have governed any differently on any of these issues.https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/11/29/the-trump-presidency-isnt-nearly-as-bad-as-it-sounds-215985
ZitatThe terrain I've described is not immutable. It is possible that at some point, the president's behavior will reach so blatantly dangerous a level that his party's elders will seek to fashion some way to entice or drag him back from the ledge. But if you look at what the president has done on a near-daily basis over the last nine months, and watch those flat-lined approval numbers and the feckless Republican response to his behavior, you may have to ask yourself: What could that behavior be? At this point, should the president in fact wander onto Fifth Avenue with a Smith and Wesson, his party will offer up heartfelt tributes to the Second Amendment.https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/11/29/donald-trump-polls-meaningless-greenfield-215986
ZitatJohn McCain announces he supports the GOP tax bill — which means it will probably pass
ZitatMr. Mnuchin has promised that Treasury will release its analysis in full. Yet, just one day before the full Senate prepares to vote on a sweeping tax rewrite, the administration has yet to produce the type of economic analysis that it is citing as a reason to pass the tax cut.Those inside Treasury's Office of Tax Policy, which Mr. Mnuchin has credited with running the models, say they have been largely shut out of the process and are not working on the type of detailed analysis that he has mentioned. An economist at the Office of Tax Analysis, who spoke on the condition of anonymity so as not to jeopardize his job, said Treasury had not released a "dynamic" analysis showing that the tax plan would be paid for with economic growth because one did not exist.
ZitatIt's of course difficult to prove things beyond any possible doubt in a field like economics. But common sense says that if there were any kind of remotely plausible way to generate an analysis that said this tax plan would pay for itself — or even come close to paying for itself — the Republican Party would find some way to produce the actual analysis. They haven't produced such an analysis because there's no way to generate one that's remotely plausible.The big tax cut for business owners and heirs to large fortunes will, in the long run, be paid for by people who are not business owners or heirs to large fortunes.It may be paid for through the long-term middle-class tax increases that are laid out in the bill. Or it may be paid for through large cuts to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and other social programs. Or it may be paid for through higher interest rates that raise the cost of new investment to deliver a tax windfall to old capital.But there is a big tax cut coming for people who own businesses and for people who stand to inherit fortunes worth more than $11 million. And there will be a price for that.
ZitatThe GOP's $1.5 trillion tax plan would trigger $150 billion in cuts to domestic programs every year for a decade if Congress doesn't step in, according to the CBO. That would include $25 billion from the money Medicare pays health care providers.[...]The fallout for numerous smaller federal programs would be even more drastic, effectively zeroing out their budgets.
Zitat"This would be unprecedented," said William Hoagland, a senior vice president at the Bipartisan Policy Center and a former GOP Senate staffer with expertise on the budget. "The law never envisioned that we'd eliminate programs."https://www.politico.com/story/2017/11/30/tax-bill-spending-cuts-gop-congress-274337
Zitat von: Twitter, soebenAli Rogin: The Senate is literally still writing this bill as they prepare for a vote on it. Now discussing "stair-stepping" corporate tax rates, gradually raising them over a number of years. Not sure this counts as "regular order."Matt Fuller: When I asked John Cornyn today why this tax bill was so unpopular, his answer was that the bill hasn't been written yet.
ZitatMueller's office announced Friday morning that a plea hearing for Flynn had been scheduled for later in the day at a federal courthouse in Washington. Flynn is scheduled to appear before U.S. District Judge Rudolph Contreras at 10:30 a.m. Friday.
Zitat von: Kommentar von Seth AbramsonMike Flynn will plead guilty to Making False Statements at 10:30 AM EST today (Friday). This is the biggest development in the Russia probe so far.What this indicates—beyond any serious doubt—is the following: Special Counsel Bob Mueller, the former Director of the FBI, believes Mike Flynn's testimony will *incriminate* the President of the United States, the Vice President of the United States, or both of these two men.For this reason, what's about to happen in 50 minutes is far and away the biggest development thus far in the Trump-Russia probe, and likely the biggest development in U.S. politics since President Nixon resigned from office during the Watergate scandal. This is historic.
ZitatTrump's Russian winter grows colder with Flynn plea deal
ZitatSeth Abramson?Verifizierter Account @SethAbramson 25 Min.vor 25 Minuten63/ The next move for the White House is this one: to try to convince the American media, and American voters, that the only thing Mueller has on Flynn is what Flynn just pled to. Don't be deceived; that's not how this works. That's not how any of this (cooperation deals) work.
Zitat"But justice roll down like waters and righteousness like an ever-flowing stream" Amos 5:24
ZitatMy sense is there are three groups: 1: A small group believes growth will take care of deficits. 2: A small group thinks that big deficits set the table for spending cuts. 3: A large group knows donors want a tax cut and DGAF* about the rest.
ZitatBut for better or worse, he was the nominee. And if they stayed in his good graces, they could get a couple crucial things done. They could confirm a conservative to replace Antonin Scalia. They could repeal Obamacare. And they could get tax reform done.They've now done all three.
ZitatBut probably not. Ryan and McConnell will have learned that they can use Trump to accomplish their goals. And tax reform, Obamacare repeal, and Neil Gorsuch are not the sum total of their goals. There are food stamp cuts to pass, Medicare and Social Security reforms to attempt, deregulatory efforts across a number of domains to spearhead. If giving Trump a pass got them this much already, why not keep indulging him forever?
Zitat von: Peiresc am 17. März 2017, 19:46:51Zitat von: Washington PostThis budget will make America a lean, mean fighting machine with bulging, rippling muscles and not an ounce of fat. America has been weak and soft for too long. BUT HOW WILL I SURVIVE ON THIS BUDGET? you may be wondering. I AM A HUMAN CHILD, NOT A COSTLY FIGHTER JET. You may not survive, but that is because you are SOFT and WEAK, something this budget is designed to eliminate.
Zitat von: Washington PostThis budget will make America a lean, mean fighting machine with bulging, rippling muscles and not an ounce of fat. America has been weak and soft for too long. BUT HOW WILL I SURVIVE ON THIS BUDGET? you may be wondering. I AM A HUMAN CHILD, NOT A COSTLY FIGHTER JET. You may not survive, but that is because you are SOFT and WEAK, something this budget is designed to eliminate.
ZitatDonald J. Trump? @realDonaldTrumpI had to fire General Flynn because he lied to the Vice President and the FBI. He has pled guilty to those lies. It is a shame because his actions during the transition were lawful. There was nothing to hide!09:14 - 2. Dez. 2017
Zitat von: RainerO am 02. Dezember 2017, 15:32:50Nachdem jetzt die Steuerreform durch ist, bleibt nur noch zu diskutieren, ob ein Jahr Zeit genug ist,damit sie genug offensichtlichen Schaden anrichtet, um sich in den midterm elections niederzuschlagen.
ZitatAs of Election Day 2018 people aren't going to see any change at all, unless they are filing their 2018 taxes freakishly early.
Zitat von: Seth AbramsonMAJOR BREAKING NEWS: President Trump Accidentally Admits on Twitter to Committing Obstruction of JusticePlease remember: the Republican Party OFFICIALLY established—in 1998—that Obstruction of Justice is an IMPEACHABLE offense.President Trump just admitted to an IMPEACHABLE offense to 42 million Americans.Nothing like this has ever happened in our history. It's mind-blowing.I'm going to state this as simply as possible: it is a CRIME, and well-established grounds for IMPEACHMENT, to fire your FBI Director because he refuses to drop a federal criminal case you know (and have now publicly admitted) was and is fully justified.https://twitter.com/SethAbramson/status/937022705378975744
Zitat von: Peiresc am 02. Dezember 2017, 20:24:20ZitatDonald J. Trump? @realDonaldTrumpI had to fire General Flynn because he lied to the Vice President and the FBI. He has pled guilty to those lies. It is a shame because his actions during the transition were lawful. There was nothing to hide!09:14 - 2. Dez. 2017
Zitat von: WPJohn M. Dowd (born February 11, 1941) is an American lawyer, former attorney for the United States Department of Justice, and former Marine. His expertise in the law field focuses on white-collar crime. He took the main role in several baseball investigations with the most notable being the Dowd Report in 1989.As of June 2017, Dowd is a legal advisor for the Trump administration.
ZitatJan 24 - FBI interviews Flynn Jan 26 - Acting AG Sally Yates warns Flynn may have lied Feb 13 - Flynn fired Feb 14 - Trump asks FBI director Comey to let Flynn prosecution go.
ZitatDowd sounds pretty angry this morning.
ZitatDonald J. Trump?I never asked Comey to stop investigating Flynn. Just more Fake News covering another Comey lie!03:15 - 3. Dez. 2017
Zitat von: Natasha Bertrand, von businessinsiderComey testified under oath. Will Trump do the same, like he said he would in June?